Polymarket Trader

Alag

0x958f86cea4459682f184df1353e9a3f0091a5465

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $126.75
Realized PnL: $734.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $126.75
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $263.25
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$154.05

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$8.95

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282
Potential profit: $282
User PnL: -$160.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.2
Potential profit: $152.2
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.58
Potential profit: $150.58
User PnL: -$12.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$19.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.02
Potential profit: $75.02
User PnL: -$32.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$6.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.56

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.3

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Yes position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

BNB all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Cavaliers position

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.89

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?

Yes 4.3% 77.81 shares
Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?

Yes 4% 212.19 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

No 54% 67.4 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 57% 282 shares
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Yes 87.1% 150 shares
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 10% 9.23 shares
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 11% 240.77 shares
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Yes 72% 390 shares
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Yes 14.8% 66 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 87% 318 shares
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 14% 250 shares
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Yes 8.9% 66 shares