No position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $246.13
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$22.38
Polymarket Trader
icariam06
@icariam06
0x95929ed92966ed5d29b47568191fe1c7e877a8fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.39
- Realized PnL
- $894.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.9
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.94
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.23
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.83
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
No position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.48
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $28.98
- Potential payout
- $43.58
- Potential profit
- $14.6
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.4
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.2
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $16.83
- Potential payout
- $33.32
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
No position
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.8
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $9.45
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.67
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.04
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.58
Yes position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.08
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.61
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.99
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.15
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.78
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.98
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.7
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 55% 100 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 37% 12.91 shares
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 15.5% 50 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 13% 100 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 64% 18.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 12% 26.86 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No 15% 100 shares
- Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No 16% 15 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 18.4% 240 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 55% 100 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 18% 100 shares
- Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 48% 20 shares