Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
caozhanhao53968
0x9593c8bdfcd33a96844ec1b65a428633b6c70cda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.2
- Realized PnL
- $10.91
- Win rate
- 95.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Conference?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 75% 2.67 shares
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 1.37 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.7% 1.59 shares
- Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes 98.9% 1.52 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes 99.7% 2.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes 99.9% 3 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of January?No 98.8% 1.29 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 94% 3.62 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 97.1% 3.3 shares
- Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes 94% 1.11 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 93% 1.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 89% 1.18 shares