No position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $356.4
- Potential payout
- $648
- Potential profit
- $291.6
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$181.44
Polymarket Trader
HectorTaylor8456
0x95cce2ea3ffe791763d6b85f13c078f6ec15f215
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $668.79
- Realized PnL
- $2.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $310.92
- Potential payout
- $381.54
- Potential profit
- $70.62
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $29.72
Yes position
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.12
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.75
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.62
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.92
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.37
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.04
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.89
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.9
Yes position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $81.68
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.72
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.44
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.97
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 27?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.12
No position
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.4
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.63
No position
Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.2
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $58.8
No position
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.66
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be greater than 16,000,000?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.82
No position
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.75
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.68
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $36.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 648 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No 86% 566 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No 87% 566 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 64% 421 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 64% 318 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 1.5% 527 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 791 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 59% 739 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 9.9% 527 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No 47% 886 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No 33% 886 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 27?No 68% 169 shares