No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $141.37
- Potential payout
- $150.87
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.13
Polymarket Trader
a234234
0x95cebe29cea83f79c024f2c723f97f5a32d2e74f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.37
- Realized PnL
- $154.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 97% 116.75 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 84% 113.25 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 86% 98.88 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 89% 95.44 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 92.9% 95.45 shares
- Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 96.7% 16 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No 97.5% 80.74 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 98% 59.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No 84.6% 12 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 98.8% 6 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 95.3% 27.98 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 27?No 98% 40 shares