Polymarket Trader

CorvalREAL

0x95d0a62deebb2de23cdac0163d4d07b7e04e071e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.6
Realized PnL: $420.48
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.24
Potential profit: $517.24
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.94
Potential profit: $436.94
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.89
Potential profit: $317.89
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $164.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $136.53
Potential profit: $120.83
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$44.3

Yes position

Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.25
Potential profit: $111.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $54.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.8
Potential profit: $82.8
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $48.64
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$8.03

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.65
Potential profit: $57.65
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $50.42
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $17.72
Potential payout: $41.68
Potential profit: $23.97
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$2.28

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $22.24
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.76

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.4

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.63

Yes position

Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Yes position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.89

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 166.67 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 60% 83.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 91% 74.62 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 40% 17.85 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 74.63 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 28% 17.86 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

No 16% 31.25 shares