Polymarket Trader

T1canwin

0x95dcbadad8d0e9222bedcf16540184301a045576

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $858.28
Realized PnL: $14K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $852.68
Potential payout: $11.52K
Potential profit: $10.67K
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $143.43

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$2.09K

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.31K
User PnL: -$1.72K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$211.55

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $799.27
Potential profit: $793.67
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$9.41

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$95

Australia position

First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.3
Potential profit: $365.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.94
Potential profit: $121.94
User PnL: -$18.89

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.33
Potential profit: $54.33
User PnL: -$23.36

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$2.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.95

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.09

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $209.89

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.26

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.11

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.65

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.95

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.15

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.83

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.56

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.29

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Dominican Rep. position

Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Chinese Taipei position

First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

South Korea position

First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Japan position

Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 5.1% 196.83 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 5% 180 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 1.9% 799.27 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 5.5% 870.73 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 6.6% 1,619.15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 7.6% 22.1 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 8% 2,000 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 7.9% 1,529.95 shares
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Japan 62% 392.5 shares
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Japan 64% 257.91 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Yes 19% 868.73 shares
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Japan 64% 134.59 shares