No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.16K
- User PnL
- -$165
Polymarket Trader
0x960ab2EeA538438B95A8f677B9E5f87Ce5A00Ef5-1771484143958
0x960ab2eea538438b95a8f677b9e5f87ce5a00ef5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $380.26
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $328.23
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- -$971.77
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $869.14
- Potential profit
- $866.09
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$36.96
Yes position
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $661.91
- Potential profit
- $660.26
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.86
- Potential profit
- $503.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.4
- Potential profit
- $406.4
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $35.63
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $339.38
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$84.38
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.53
- Potential profit
- $333.53
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.38
- Potential profit
- $327.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.96
- Potential profit
- $320.96
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.72
- Potential profit
- $312.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.78
- Potential profit
- $309.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.77
- Potential profit
- $307.77
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.6
- Potential profit
- $304.6
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.11
- Potential profit
- $272.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.87
- Potential profit
- $264.87
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $251.45
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$38.29
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.63
- Potential profit
- $254.63
- User PnL
- -$48.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.38
- Potential profit
- $241.38
- User PnL
- -$38.66
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.68
- Potential profit
- $232.68
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.39
- Potential profit
- $231.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.65
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.87
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.54
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.7
No position
Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$36.06
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 0.6% 384.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No 16% 241.38 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 2.9% 425.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 4.5% 300.8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes 3.4% 425.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes 6.4% 300.8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 19% 254.63 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 73% 203.97 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 54.9% 298.61 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 32% 375 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21% 535.71 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No 67% 298.61 shares