No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $52.08
- User PnL
- -$51.3
Polymarket Trader
WarmNights
0x960e5b2c2b8b0d5c7354318f25a04fe02513b0b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $759.97
- Realized PnL
- $48.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.54
- Potential profit
- $51.54
- User PnL
- -$50.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.6
- Potential profit
- $50.6
- User PnL
- -$49.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.34
- Potential profit
- $46.34
- User PnL
- -$45.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $45.27
- Potential payout
- $46.1
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $45.22
- Potential payout
- $45.91
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.87
- Potential profit
- $45.87
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 96°F or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $45.27
- Potential payout
- $45.77
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $45.16
- Potential payout
- $45.73
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $45.43
- Potential payout
- $45.68
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.54
- Potential profit
- $45.54
- User PnL
- -$45.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $45.2
- Potential payout
- $45.54
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $45.34
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $45.09
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 96°F or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $45.36
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $45.2
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $44.77
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.4
- Potential profit
- $45.4
- User PnL
- -$44.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $45.13
- Potential payout
- $45.36
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $45.13
- Potential payout
- $45.22
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $45.08
- Potential payout
- $45.22
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 84°F or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $45.07
- Potential payout
- $45.21
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $40.53
- Potential payout
- $42.42
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $41.72
- Potential payout
- $42.04
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 21?No 98.9% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?No 97.8% 46.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 20?No 99% 25.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?No 96.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 20?No 98% 15.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?No 97.7% 37.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 21?No 98.5% 45.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 21?No 99% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 20?No 98.7% 45.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 19?No 99% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 20?No 99% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?No 98.3% 7 shares