No position
Will Trump say "Smart" or "Genius" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $730.09
- Potential profit
- $730.09
- User PnL
- -$50.94
Polymarket Trader
erFiodena
0x961b2866b349bad732c6fce081af9090be4d2b00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.94
- Realized PnL
- $397.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $209.09
- Potential profit
- $206.48
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $22.92
- Potential payout
- $208.32
- Potential profit
- $185.4
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$20.83
N
No position
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.15
N
No position
Will Trump say "Sacrifice" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Trump praise Hillary Clinton by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $112.96
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$12.58
Yes position
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.33
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$9.22
OpenAI position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $107.56
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
N
No position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $108
- User PnL
- -$30
Y
Yes position
Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $90.49
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.3
- Potential profit
- $92.3
- User PnL
- -$12
N
No position
Will Trump say "Memory" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Tesla position
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $77.35
- Potential profit
- $75.26
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
No position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $77
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $71.42
- Potential profit
- $48.92
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.51
- Potential profit
- $67.51
- User PnL
- -$12.3
N
No position
Will Trump say "Danger" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.51
- Potential profit
- $64.51
- User PnL
- -$20
N
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $54.65
- Potential payout
- $60.39
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.42
- Potential profit
- $57.42
- User PnL
- -$8.78
N
No position
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of AC Milan?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $44.36
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.91
Yes position
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $34.44
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $14.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.95
No position
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.99
No position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.66
Yes position
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.34
Yes position
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.31
No position
Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.35
Meta position
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yamal position
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
John position
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 3.99 shares
- World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. AlvarezHaaland 62% 30 shares
- Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Meta 95.3% 15.15 shares
- Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?No 94% 20 shares
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 71.42 shares
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 71.42 shares
- Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 71.42 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 35% 5 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 2% 20 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 16% 327.65 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 20% 75 shares