Polymarket Trader

NachoArcade

0x9623e14d821d55f30442cad0994c435bc1fcfaa0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $102
Realized PnL: $75.94
Win rate: 20.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.5
Potential profit: $387.5
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.95

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $63.7
Potential payout: $72.8
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.75

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.5

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.98

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.27

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

T1 position

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.1

Top Esports position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.1

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

No 0.4% 5,032.6 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

No 0.4% 2,500 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 11% 454.55 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 80% 72.8 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 40% 100 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Yes 4.1% 100 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 51% 50 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Yes 0.4% 387.5 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6% 500 shares