No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.65
- Potential profit
- $412.65
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Polymarket Trader
squirrel12345
0x962f2628941319ef85b6e20f448b301ea6a90649
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.59
- Realized PnL
- $23.72
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.08
- Potential profit
- $286.08
- User PnL
- -$6.47
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $23
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.98
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 39% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 19.3% 48.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 30% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 3.2% 46.3 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 36% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 19% 6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 3.5% 28 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 19% 6 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 4.5% 18.3 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 25% 31.27 shares
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 5.5% 19 shares