No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.65
- Potential profit
- $23.65
- User PnL
- -$16.79
Polymarket Trader
Frostholdd
0x963261835a32cf05b92ed77f265e22023ccb7eae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.59
- Realized PnL
- $1.02
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $19.59
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 21.05 shares
- Will "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 99.2% 22.18 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 99.1% 22.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 98.6% 22.31 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 22.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93.3% 22.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 94.7% 21.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 98.5% 21.32 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 26.28 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91.3% 26.28 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No 98.4% 4.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?No 71% 23.3 shares