Polymarket Trader

laoqi888

@laolaoqi

0x963e377c85f81a5cfeeb1e2ed60ddf9aaef904a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $186.01
Realized PnL: -$117.97
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $23.41
Potential payout: $191.08
Potential profit: $167.68
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.7
Potential profit: $177.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $129.39
Potential profit: $105.84
Multiplier: 5.49x
User PnL: $13.55

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $54.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$5.17

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 65.2%
Current value: $31.94
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $17.08
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $47.59
Potential profit: $27.84
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Solana reach $140 December 29-January 4?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.03
Potential profit: $40.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $19.03
Potential payout: $35.57
Potential profit: $16.54
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $34.92
Potential profit: $32.52
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $30.32
Potential profit: $11.82
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $11.28
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Multiplier: 5.05x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$8.39

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$34.48

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$87.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 60.15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?

Yes 7.7% 129.39 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 24?

Yes 0.6% 177.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 43% 14.77 shares
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 282.71 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 30.32 shares
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Yes 56.2% 35.57 shares
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.2% 282.72 shares
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 191.08 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares