Polymarket Trader

rasputtin

0x9644197437eda6c593d487bb2ef602fef4bfb1b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.44K
Realized PnL: $1.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $7.72K
Potential profit: $6.17K
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: $57.92

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $888.95
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $221.95

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$420

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 7,722.16 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 2,300 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 1,999.99 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 5,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 21% 2,000 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 67% 500 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Yes 50% 561.33 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 28% 1,000 shares

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