No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$273.6
Polymarket Trader
polkiajd
0x9660bd8dfe42bd55ab888dec2cc6bea3c1b18bb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $5.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Donroe Doctrine" or "Trump Doctrine" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$359.25
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.86
- Potential profit
- $833.86
- User PnL
- -$102.8
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$259.48
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.98
- Potential profit
- $766.98
- User PnL
- -$242.07
No position
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $724.72
- Potential profit
- $724.72
- User PnL
- -$275.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.59
- Potential profit
- $699.59
- User PnL
- -$289.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662.33
- Potential profit
- $662.33
- User PnL
- -$60.7
Yes position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $35.75
- Potential payout
- $595.84
- Potential profit
- $560.09
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$205.42
Yes position
Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $566.79
- Potential profit
- $566.79
- User PnL
- -$266.39
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.82
- Potential profit
- $560.82
- User PnL
- -$162.56
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508.05
- Potential profit
- $508.05
- User PnL
- -$317.02
Yes position
Will Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi City FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $452.63
- Potential profit
- $452.63
- User PnL
- -$63.63
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $440.94
- Potential profit
- $440.94
- User PnL
- -$197.31
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$206.2
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$113.4
No position
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $378.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $312.4
No position
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.2
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- User PnL
- -$338.47
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395
- Potential profit
- $395
- User PnL
- -$177.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $393.82
- Potential profit
- $393.82
- User PnL
- -$133.9
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $369
- Potential profit
- $366.42
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$110.53
No position
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.71
- Potential profit
- $329.71
- User PnL
- -$128.31
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $132.3
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $309.03
- Potential payout
- $309.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $206.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Forca Lleida CE position
Forca Lleida CE vs. Barcelona
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.86
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.2
Yes position
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.04
Yes position
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.05
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.74
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.6
No position
Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.53
No position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.13
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.32
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.69
No position
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.1
No position
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.86
Yes position
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
Yes position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes 99.9% 459 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 86% 1,178.33 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No 65.7% 197.26 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No 84% 198.72 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No 82.6% 198.61 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?No 67.4% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?No 35% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?No 32.7% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?No 31% 200 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?No 31% 200 shares
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026?No 94.5% 200 shares
- Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?No 85% 199.1 shares