Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $59.61
- Potential payout
- $13.25K
- Potential profit
- $13.19K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$140.39
Polymarket Trader
BetzimSheli
0x9687f0a7104eaebe19541541e6f0ffe8c8572f43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.33K
- Realized PnL
- $3.13K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $76
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $999.56
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $379.15
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $49.57
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $325.85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $676.77
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $25.85
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $111.74
- Potential payout
- $757.58
- Potential profit
- $645.83
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $100.36
- Potential payout
- $729.93
- Potential profit
- $629.56
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $102.43
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $438.11
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $306.16
- Potential payout
- $410.96
- Potential profit
- $104.79
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $198.17
- Potential payout
- $335.61
- Potential profit
- $137.43
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $49.3
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $91.55
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$50.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.24
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $176.45
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $129.6
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.22
No position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $55.15
No position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $53.22
No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$770.35
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$802.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 67% 373.13 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 66.7% 599.73 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59.6% 335.61 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 73% 410.96 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.2% 757.58 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 94.8% 324.98 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 73.8% 135.57 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 270.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 140.85 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 729.93 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 540.54 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 76.9% 324.98 shares