Polymarket Trader

jiold

0x96adaf96a5829653c41fc5c133a5aeebfc51ca65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.53
Realized PnL: $3.47
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.11
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.3%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.99x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Will Fluxo W7M Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

Yes 9.2% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?

Yes 16% 5.39 shares
Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?

Yes 12.6% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?

Yes 9% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in June?

Yes 9% 20 shares
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?

Yes 17.5% 1.57 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

Yes 12% 20 shares
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?

Yes 13.5% 10 shares
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?

Yes 19% 20 shares