No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $6.2K
- Potential payout
- $13.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.42K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Polymarket Trader
sfch
0x96b4848bb03cfa9d006c9d5639bd04f368a67e39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.2K
- Realized PnL
- $5.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.84
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $753.77
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.59
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.47
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.15
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.77
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.17
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.76
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.29
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.29
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.01
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.83
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 4,849.97 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 92.7% 1,606.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 4,950 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No 92% 622.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No 92% 1,581.59 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 96.8% 3,781.29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 75% 3,781.29 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 76.7% 2,805.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No 96.4% 2,119.09 shares
- US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes 93% 1,269.72 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No 99.9% 851.2 shares
- US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes 76.1% 1,269.72 shares