Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $52.86
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Polymarket Trader
StephanEU
0x96c0f2976c4f907160e5a65487ebe16eb801b412
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.66
- Realized PnL
- $33.81
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $18.21
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $33.08
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $45.31
- Potential profit
- $44.6
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $36.79
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $18.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.23
- Potential profit
- $12.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump say "See what happens" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?Yes 38% 18.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?Yes 34% 8.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 91.7% 11.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 11.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?No 95.1% 4.45 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?No 40% 4.45 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?No 8.2% 12.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?No 7% 14.29 shares