No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- User PnL
- -$881.78
Polymarket Trader
guesswhatwhat
0x96c2176eac1c1e9f630d23c646d2b0e4a1988df5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.03
- Realized PnL
- $1.33K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$321.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $79.31
- Potential payout
- $689.7
- Potential profit
- $610.38
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$135.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.47
- Potential profit
- $356.47
- User PnL
- -$28.4
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $353.87
- Potential profit
- $353.87
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.57
- Potential profit
- $352.57
- User PnL
- -$116
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.51
- Potential profit
- $266.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.09
- Potential profit
- $241.09
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.37
- Potential profit
- $220.37
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.13
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.55
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.5
- Potential profit
- $174.5
- User PnL
- -$58.4
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.7
- Potential profit
- $162.7
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.72
- Potential profit
- $150.72
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.41
- Potential profit
- $149.41
- User PnL
- -$24.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $32.27
- Potential payout
- $137.3
- Potential profit
- $105.04
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.73
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.81
- Potential profit
- $105.81
- User PnL
- -$38.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.19
- Potential profit
- $50.19
- User PnL
- -$24.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.35
No position
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 20 above $144?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.15
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.67
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.47
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of April 20 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.31
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 5.3% 75.45 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 56.3% 34.48 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 4.4% 99.2 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 40% 70 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.2% 465.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 11% 90.91 shares