Polymarket Trader

Telluride

0x96ce10726cc852e5f3b8cdd294378e24ba0b5e65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $526.31
Realized PnL: $729.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.75K
Potential profit: $46.75K
User PnL: -$57.88

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.93K
Potential profit: $30.93K
User PnL: -$106.93

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.04K
Potential profit: $14.04K
User PnL: -$14.04

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18K
Potential profit: $12.18K
User PnL: -$50.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $27.49
Potential payout: $6.11K
Potential profit: $6.08K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$33.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.91K
Potential profit: $4.91K
User PnL: -$115.98

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $4.06K
User PnL: -$40.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $489.62
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 3.71x
User PnL: $425.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.56

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4PM ET

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET

Up 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 35.6% 14.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 46.9% 10.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Up 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 36% 13.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Up 6.1% 81.83 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Yes 1% 1,030.74 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares