Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Polymarket Trader
telosintel
@TelosIntel
0x96e564fa47c6e9e55dc42f67a3f8d1a6a3a51d85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $1.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589
- Potential profit
- $589
- User PnL
- -$372.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $227.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $198.86
- Potential payout
- $209
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $195
- User PnL
- -$64.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.48
- Potential profit
- $149.48
- User PnL
- -$143.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $139.22
- Potential payout
- $140.91
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $105.53
- Potential payout
- $120.6
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $119.22
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $102.02
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $82.74
- Potential payout
- $88.73
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $22.79
- Potential payout
- $23.1
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.1
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.14
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
No position
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Down 0.1% 3,849.98 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 99% 3,850 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?No 99.9% 109 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Down 10% 150 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 73% 150 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Down 14% 300 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 74% 300 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Up 77% 1,000 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?Down 15% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on June 19?No 98.8% 23.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?No 90% 120.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 19?No 99% 104 shares