Polymarket Trader

orixcrake

0x96e9edf0e27596d8eb42f771f24464ee92224b32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.95K
Realized PnL: $5.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.7
Potential profit: $784.7
User PnL: -$323.54

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.39
Potential profit: $757.39
User PnL: -$268.33

No position

Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $635.37
Potential profit: $635.37
User PnL: -$261.35

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.99
Potential profit: $574.99
User PnL: -$83.15

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $518.84
Potential payout: $518.84
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $267.73

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $480.19
Potential payout: $480.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $191.54

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$213.61

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$227.62

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$358.55

Kareckaite position

UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $198.7
Potential payout: $397.4
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $397
Potential profit: $397
User PnL: -$41.66

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $394.77
Potential payout: $394.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $128.85

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $384.68
Potential payout: $384.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $206.63

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $342.33
Potential payout: $342.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $103.41

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.72
Potential profit: $336.72
User PnL: -$263.85

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.94
Potential profit: $332.94
User PnL: -$214.04

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $319.69
Potential payout: $319.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $118.29

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $296.76
Potential payout: $296.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $192.82

No position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.26
Potential profit: $294.26
User PnL: -$78.9

No position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282
Potential profit: $282
User PnL: -$153.24

No position

US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.54
Potential profit: $272.54
User PnL: -$163.38

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $267.5
Potential payout: $267.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $127.95

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.51
Potential profit: $258.51
User PnL: -$94.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.25

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.97

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.11

No position

Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.7

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.24

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.78

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.07

No position

Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.24

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.7

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.48

Yes position

Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.69

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.24

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.06

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.96

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.21

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?

Yes 39.2% 25 shares
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Yes 74% 8 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 56% 2.6 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Kareckaite 51% 25 shares