Polymarket Trader

Gabrielgarciadt

0x96ede39bbd759036b31b5a5efa6c884b550d9a63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $581.44
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.14K
Potential profit: $242.14K
User PnL: -$416.47

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.77
Potential profit: $590.77
User PnL: -$253.03

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $506.77
Potential payout: $520.83
Potential profit: $14.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.33
Potential profit: $314.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.2
Potential profit: $301.2
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.91
Potential profit: $204.91
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.39
Potential profit: $159.39
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.84
Potential profit: $148.84
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$78

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $49.47
Potential payout: $62.42
Potential profit: $12.95
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $30.75
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $12.18
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $5.76
User PnL: -$1.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.67

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.96

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.58

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.98

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.05

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.59

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.28

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $14.48

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.92

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$8.81

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 96% 520.83 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.1% 62.42 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

17.5% 27.46 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.3% 30.75 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 24.59 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 46.12 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 661.91 shares
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 99.8% 1,020.36 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 1,071.43 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 58.82 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4% 154.63 shares