Polymarket Trader

nothing-to-lose

0x96ef5e15412e280b23b23a92c444c8d262a15523

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $276.22
Realized PnL: $72.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $276.22
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $18.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.84
Potential profit: $101.84
User PnL: -$54.88

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.89
Potential profit: $25.89
User PnL: -$1.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5.97K

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85K

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $919.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4AM ET

Down 97% 3.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 96% 3.75 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 20.1% 19.07 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 31.5% 19.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Down 22% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Down 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 54% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 54.4% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 53.4% 46.84 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 21.5% 276.27 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 10.5% 276.27 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Yes 30% 79.99 shares