Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $191.84
- Potential payout
- $355.25
- Potential profit
- $163.42
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$25.68
Polymarket Trader
0x96F004Fcb1c69bC87d6eC83eAC769905DbD0E3b9-1774692057968
0x96f004fcb1c69bc87d6ec83eac769905dbd0e3b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.84
- Realized PnL
- $190.94
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.78
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.35
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 65% 13.09 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 67% 5.16 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 100 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes 34% 26 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes 59% 20 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes 59% 10 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?No 20% 7.85 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?Yes 96.4% 199.99 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Yes 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Yes 95.7% 5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 37% 50 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 66% 75.76 shares