No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $798.38
- Potential profit
- $798.38
- User PnL
- -$597.6
Polymarket Trader
0x6688a1a91697cbafdcdf893c25e2273ab6db67cd
0x9722b812bafd8605722785c757e2cd32c7cc5304
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $686.91
- Realized PnL
- $18.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$367
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $642.86
- Potential profit
- $642.86
- User PnL
- -$269
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $32.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.25
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$67.25
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405
- Potential profit
- $405
- User PnL
- -$113.3
Yes position
Ukraine strike in Russia on 27 November 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$370.53
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$162.2
No position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.2
- Potential profit
- $301.2
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $233.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $198.94
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $173.03
- Potential profit
- $160.67
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$44.9
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $143
- User PnL
- -$68.01
Yes position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.24
- Potential profit
- $118.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $97.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $39.65
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$83
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $18.5
Yes position
Ukraine strike in Russia on 25 November 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.97
- Potential profit
- $97.97
- User PnL
- -$84.25
Yes position
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.84
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.57
Yes position
Will Joe Biden say "Trump" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.43
Up position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.8
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.83
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.25
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.75
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.7% 150 shares
- TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Yes 84.6% 118.24 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 7.5% 317.46 shares
- Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?No 99.6% 100.44 shares
- Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?No 99.5% 100.52 shares
- Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?No 99.7% 100.31 shares
- Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?No 99% 90.91 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No 98.8% 101.17 shares
- Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No 83% 60.24 shares
- Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No 83% 240.96 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes 55% 363.64 shares