Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $119.73
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$880.27
Polymarket Trader
ikal
0x97280c0ccd280bfb27c0a147fcfe9cba5e74bd83
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $901.82
- Realized PnL
- $1.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $516.96
- Potential payout
- $542.17
- Potential profit
- $25.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $66.96
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $217.87
- Potential payout
- $489.58
- Potential profit
- $271.72
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$82.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $444.92
- Potential profit
- $444.92
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390.18
- Potential profit
- $390.18
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $16.92
- Potential payout
- $307.69
- Potential profit
- $290.77
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$23.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $30.34
- Potential payout
- $289
- Potential profit
- $258.65
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$81.66
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.49
- Potential profit
- $45.49
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.93
- Potential profit
- $30.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.77
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.88
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.29
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.06
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.12
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
Will ETH hit $3,500 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.98
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed abolished in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Starknet airdrop in February?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 89.9% 444.92 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 76.9% 390.18 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 94.2% 106.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes 94.3% 317.98 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 49.8% 602.29 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 68% 441.18 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 100.7 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 62% 258.06 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No 98.4% 162.6 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 1.7% 7,647.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 38.8% 289 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 83% 132.53 shares