Polymarket Trader

fabic-ai

0x972dd46e9b3608169065755c880ad6e23efb99aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $450.82
Realized PnL: $56.88
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $21.06
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$33.94

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $23.11
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$36.89

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.5
Potential profit: $768.5
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $673.9
Potential profit: $673.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.81
Potential profit: $608.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $34.45
Potential payout: $588.89
Potential profit: $554.44
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$70.55

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $36.66
Potential payout: $431.25
Potential profit: $394.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$68.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $57.01
Potential payout: $411.65
Potential profit: $354.63
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $37.01

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.02
Potential profit: $313.02
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $302.33
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$68.33

Yes position

Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.02
Potential profit: $201.02
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.33
Potential profit: $198.33
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $180.33
Potential payout: $180.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $70.33

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $49.21
Potential payout: $172.71
Potential profit: $123.51
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$60.79

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $170.11
Potential profit: $152.25
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.28
Potential payout: $154.22
Potential profit: $134.94
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$35.72

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.43
Potential profit: $134.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.22
Potential profit: $111.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $108.3
Potential profit: $108.03
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$19.73

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.2
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$19.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $59.38

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 61% 163.93 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 61% 16.39 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 16% 62.32 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 23.3% 34.33 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 51% 312.5 shares
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Yes 18.5% 54.11 shares
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?

Yes 36.3% 55.15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 18.5% 108.3 shares