Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $2.42K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $422.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $520.71
Polymarket Trader
igloosarecool
0x97382307c5ccb8f7003a877edfc96ba7bc7ced21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.03K
- Realized PnL
- $3.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $481.91
- Potential payout
- $708.69
- Potential profit
- $226.78
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $233.87
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.83
- Potential profit
- $148.83
- User PnL
- -$17.61
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $124.99
- Potential payout
- $147.57
- Potential profit
- $22.58
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $21.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 70.4% 147.57 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 66.7% 2,687.84 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 35% 708.69 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes 65% 280 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes 63.6% 3,529.52 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes 54.7% 99.12 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 11.3% 204 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 8% 399 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 9% 389 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 12.2% 255.03 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 14.2% 796.12 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes 8.8% 47.23 shares