Polymarket Trader

DonKarabas

0x973971ea55aa46261bce854c2ee8da83c97b159f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.13K
Realized PnL: $34.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $895.55
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $4.88K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$161.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $157.27
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.32

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $506.69
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $381.99
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $12.49
Potential payout: $304.53
Potential profit: $292.04
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $37.58
Potential payout: $178.97
Potential profit: $141.38
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$80.58

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.98K

Yes position

Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.15K

Yes position

Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?

Ends Sep 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross less than $16m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $915.4

No position

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $912.71

Yes position

Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $859.23

Yes position

Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $776.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $660.44

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 1-1.4 August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $652.84

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $610.8

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $585.23

Yes position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $544.28

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.11

No position

Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?

Ends Sep 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Yes 8% 96.75 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes 16% 3,687.5 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.2% 110 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Yes 3% 9.99 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 0.2% 445.08 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Yes 3% 100 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.5% 26.96 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Yes 0.1% 4,107.2 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 1.3% 500 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 1.3% 83.33 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares