Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $275.76
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $45.28
Polymarket Trader
0x973a...eb8d
0x973a0af81433999a9fb041a0a85a068a7f13eb8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $978.98
- Realized PnL
- -$993.91
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $653.3
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $26.15
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $29.09
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $20.84
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $108.7
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.61
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.35
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$490.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$820.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 11% 909 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.4% 321.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.8% 968.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 92% 250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 89.8% 309.82 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 89% 418.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90% 248.83 shares
- Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No 98% 137.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 41% 221.88 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8% 1,600 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 27% 1,007.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 508.47 shares