Polymarket Trader

0x973a89F203C1Cf1cB74C9eAed7d03505f5011F4d-1783263534565

0x973a89f203c1cf1cb74c9eaed7d03505f5011f4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.64
Realized PnL: -$53.83
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $664.67
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $280.2
Potential profit: $279.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $34.07
Potential profit: $28.62
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $13.98
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 18% 16.67 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Yes 14.7% 34.07 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 18% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 52% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 46% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Down 25% 4 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 0.4% 280.2 shares
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 0.1% 530 shares
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 0.1% 132.58 shares