No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.04
- User PnL
- $131.82
Polymarket Trader
EthanDeFi
0x975ad39760b5e113229888d2b0fa90fd9111359a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.19K
- Realized PnL
- $525.19
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $552.1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $717.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $259.34
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $539.04
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $267.28
- Potential payout
- $518.99
- Potential profit
- $251.71
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$45.84
No position
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $203.59
- Potential payout
- $204.71
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $65.71
- Potential payout
- $71.81
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $13.29
No position
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $14.45
- Potential payout
- $24.91
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $18.29
- Potential payout
- $20.43
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7.25
No position
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $13.94
- Potential payout
- $15.84
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.8
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.16
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$55.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 99.5% 240 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99% 500 shares
- Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?No 97.7% 204.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 99.5% 603.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.5% 445.26 shares
- Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 29% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,000 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.8% 1,123.98 shares
- Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2027?No 56.2% 24.91 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes 95.4% 150 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes 95.4% 150 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 98.4% 51.1 shares