No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $28.84
- Potential payout
- $117.7
- Potential profit
- $88.86
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Polymarket Trader
MasterOfLlamas
0x976552c871b70a84ac078f16da410afafdb6ac07
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $222.59
- Realized PnL
- $371.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $88.16
- Potential payout
- $88.29
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $72.92
- Potential profit
- $59.79
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$52.24
No position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $57.53
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$46.42
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $59.79
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.2%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$6.19
No position
Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $14.84
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.45
No position
Will April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.59
No position
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $11.21
No position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $11.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
Yes position
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will Microsoft reach $525 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 57% 27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 94.9% 16 shares
- Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No 95.4% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.8% 30 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 90% 46.92 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No 68% 62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 89% 16.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?No 99.2% 23.79 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 79% 56 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 86% 3.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 86% 350 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 356.56 shares