No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Polymarket Trader
nileearl4819
0x976b646efb7a2700b90a5ca665936b1f91d09d0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.1
- Realized PnL
- $7.24
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 84 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 87 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.3% 49 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.2% 49 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 26 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 52 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 46 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 80 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 80 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60.5% 19 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.4% 21 shares