Polymarket Trader

shenqidetuzi

0x976e4dcfd2286f662b2d1b3b9b189723737c2d2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.9
Realized PnL: $191.43
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $575.4
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $597
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 10 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.99
Potential profit: $503.99
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.33
Potential profit: $433.33
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $217.52
Potential profit: $203.82
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.67
Potential profit: $186.67
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.14
Potential profit: $157.14
User PnL: -$1.1

magic position

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.94
Potential profit: $118.94
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.45
Potential profit: $83.45
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $76.4
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.4

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.75
Potential profit: $68.75
User PnL: -$2.2

Favbet position

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.41
Potential profit: $61.41
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.27

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $49.31

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13

Yes position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $2.92

MIBR fe position

Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

fnatic position

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.56

FC Famalicão Esports position

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.7

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7% 175 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 68.75 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 4% 126.81 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 6% 83.33 shares
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

No 12.6% 118.94 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.6% 226.42 shares
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 600 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

No 23% 43.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 3.6% 83.45 shares
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Yes 0.3% 433.33 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 11.9% 100.84 shares