No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $42.16K
- Potential payout
- $72.06K
- Potential profit
- $29.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Polymarket Trader
0x9771bbD2A6226A2213a283649E3bC04bc8945a0A-1764589379691
0x9771bbd2a6226a2213a283649e3bc04bc8945a0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.17K
- Realized PnL
- $1.74K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $36.88K
- Potential payout
- $41.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $17.66
- User PnL
- $337.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $100.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $124.42
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $29.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $509.64
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $930.89
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $86.48
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $129.89
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $402.88
- Potential payout
- $513.22
- Potential profit
- $110.34
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $43.88
No position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $34.44
- Potential payout
- $127.56
- Potential profit
- $93.12
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $12.06
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $505.32
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $284.69
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $279.35
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $246.59
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.03
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.12
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $85.11
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $72.91
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $41.6
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.63
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.86
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$38.96
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$44.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28% 39.29 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 28.4% 38.79 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 30.4% 26.35 shares
- Blue tsunami in 2026?No 58% 12.06 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?No 30.3% 23.13 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 37% 48.65 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 54% 40.2 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 53% 57.7 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 55.3% 5,329.98 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 55% 5,054.55 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 54.2% 18,461.58 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 20,718.37 shares