Down position
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.78
- Potential profit
- $139.78
- User PnL
- -$71.29
Polymarket Trader
PhilipsZhou202
0x977714ef4e5103e88d2b857c5074d256a69a3761
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $244.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.72
- Potential profit
- $100.72
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$41.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $98
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.02
- Potential profit
- $50.02
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.95
- Potential profit
- $49.95
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.01
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?Yes 33% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 3?Yes 10.1% 110 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 3?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?Yes 18% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?Yes 15% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 26?Yes 17% 41.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?No 34% 10.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?Yes 26% 1.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?Yes 23% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?No 70% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?Yes 48% 5 shares