Polymarket Trader

dane41145

0x9779b6b803e088cbbb37424c005d21a3246a8715

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $300.21
Realized PnL: $2.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $9.77K
User PnL: -$999.49

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.64K
Potential profit: $6.64K
User PnL: -$575.38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $300.21
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.32K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$430.64

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.16
Potential profit: $787.16
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.65
Potential profit: $711.65
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.57
Potential profit: $409.57
User PnL: -$198.8

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.45
Potential profit: $402.45
User PnL: -$99.89

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.27

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.45

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $15.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13% 3,314.23 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 55% 430.85 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 14.1% 711.65 shares
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 23% 1,304.35 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Yes 3.8% 3,977.01 shares
Will Trump say "Qatar" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99.9% 282.55 shares
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99.9% 131.57 shares
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99.9% 413.68 shares
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 48.5% 409.57 shares
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 76% 131.58 shares