No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.08
- Potential profit
- $59.08
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Polymarket Trader
Csiga
0x97b099626bbdefec76aee93647b2a49c944762fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $32.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- User PnL
- -$6.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
North Korea missile test by September 15?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Russia announces air truce by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Another NATO article 4 by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during announcement today?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will India win?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No 98.2% 5.95 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.4% 5.94 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 69% 5.94 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No 71% 4.1 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 2.92 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.5% 2.92 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No 4.8% 60.49 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No 88% 28.86 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.9% 25.68 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No 88% 14.5 shares
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?No 97.3% 13.12 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No 88% 17.14 shares