Polymarket Trader

juval132

0x97b96d861fe91e58e8de09f8978c8a4b68e3bc06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.99
Realized PnL: $735.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $90.34
Potential payout: $384.44
Potential profit: $294.09
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$83.25

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.54
Potential profit: $210.54
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $12.47
Potential payout: $113.34
Potential profit: $100.87
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$7.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.02

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 1.9% 210.53 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Yes 32% 112.99 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Yes 64.7% 154.45 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 18.1% 865.12 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 23% 304.35 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 21.4% 560.78 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 9.9% 202.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 67% 14.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Up 44% 2.27 shares
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes 17.6% 113.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares