Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $56.25
- Potential payout
- $22.5K
- Potential profit
- $22.44K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.74
Polymarket Trader
0x97Cb3a7cef8eb9f7E5C1b549BE4BDCb77e4Bc910-1776943230792
0x97cb3a7cef8eb9f7e5c1b549be4bdcb77e4bc910
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.38K
- Realized PnL
- $10.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.41K
- Potential payout
- $20.49K
- Potential profit
- $16.09K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $631.85
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $19.37K
- Potential profit
- $18.27K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $77.01
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.21K
- Potential profit
- $19.21K
- User PnL
- -$542.35
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.92K
- Potential profit
- $18.92K
- User PnL
- -$359.88
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $11.47K
- User PnL
- -$442.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $23.59
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.41K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$530.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $705.13
- Potential payout
- $8.93K
- Potential profit
- $8.22K
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $45.21
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.01K
- Potential profit
- $7.01K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $300.04
- Potential payout
- $6.82K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$168.95
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- User PnL
- -$2.42K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.72K
- User PnL
- -$133.97
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $4.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $674.29
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$119.52
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$106.44
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $753.73
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $311.39
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $464.87
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $61.98
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $24
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$135.12
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$904.39
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $693.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.72
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.33
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $553.48
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $389.48
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $332.84
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $285.32
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.12
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $235.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.36
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.92
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.63
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.15
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.84
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.40x
- User PnL
- $133.52
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.41
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $92.03
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.53
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $68.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 6,521.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 4,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 1,045.69 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.8% 1,847.2 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 13% 166.2 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 13.9% 721.43 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No 17% 882.35 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No 15.9% 1,131.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 7,894.74 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No 15% 1,333.33 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No 15% 1,333.33 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 10% 1,320.7 shares