Polymarket Trader

Gluckyklucky

0x97d37d16d1774785197bfa23ffed625a8e493f3c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.34K
Realized PnL: $9.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $5.44
User PnL: $42.28

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.56
Potential profit: $846.56
User PnL: -$524.68

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.39
Potential profit: $524.39
User PnL: -$425.64

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $416.91
Potential payout: $424.33
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.02

No position

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $314.3
Potential payout: $357.16
Potential profit: $42.86
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.92

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $281.96
Potential payout: $343.85
Potential profit: $61.89
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.11
Potential profit: $335.11
User PnL: -$22.58

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $205.04
Potential payout: $275.22
Potential profit: $70.18
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $169.01
Potential payout: $244.98
Potential profit: $75.97
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $6.07

No position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $164.56
Potential payout: $193.6
Potential profit: $29.04
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $13.51

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $77.32
Potential payout: $190.92
Potential profit: $113.6
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $6.96

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $119
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $90.63
Potential payout: $100.92
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $72.59
Potential payout: $84.9
Potential profit: $12.31
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $8.92

No position

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $42.86
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $36.67
Potential payout: $49.89
Potential profit: $13.22
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $41.4
Potential payout: $43.81
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $41.87
Potential payout: $43.37
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $21.86
Potential payout: $25.87
Potential profit: $4.01
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $22.17
Potential payout: $22.27
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.79

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $653.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.97

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $510.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.86

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $481.04

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.67

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.28

No position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.89

No position

Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.89

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.62

No position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.76

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.09

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $290.68

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.48

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.55

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.27

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.28

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.35

No position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.68

No position

Will Luka Doncic play against the Pacers on Saturday?

Ends Feb 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

No 4.9% 21.64 shares
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

No 7% 135 shares
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Yes 76% 6.49 shares
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 94.9% 25 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45% 26.23 shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

No 36% 7 shares
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

No 9% 78.47 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 100 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

No 84% 200 shares
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

No 92.9% 25 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 26.36 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 149.37 shares