Yes position
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $373.85
- Potential profit
- $373.85
- User PnL
- -$62.3
Polymarket Trader
0xB29304109238401
0x97e1e8027dd31b5db1467bb870c4bc0d1637ae74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $137.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.33
- Potential profit
- $67.33
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.62
- Potential profit
- $65.62
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.59
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- User PnL
- -$6.38
No position
Will Robert Irwin & Witney Carson win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$14.07
Yes position
Will Alix Earle & Val Chmerkovskiy win Dancing with the Stars Season 34?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$13.54
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.7
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.19
- Potential profit
- $20.19
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.93
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 21?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.83
- Potential profit
- $13.83
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.62
- Potential profit
- $12.62
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Alix Earle win Dancing with the Stars season 34?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$6.51
No position
Will Robert Irwin win Dancing with the Stars season 34?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
D4vd arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.94
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.72
- Potential profit
- $3.72
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.83K
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.23K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49K
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Young people don't die" this week? (September 15-21)
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.68
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.13
Yes position
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.23
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.24
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.78
Yes position
Will Trump say “Hoax” this week? (November 10 - 16)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.68
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.31
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Education" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.68
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.14
Yes position
Will Robert Irwin win Dancing with the Stars season 34?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 28% 2.02 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 0.1% 1.96 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 59% 0.44 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 59% 0.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?Yes 82.6% 61.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Yes 86.8% 723.71 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Yes 82.8% 1,481.68 shares
- Will Trump say "Too Late" or "Fed" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Yes 79% 52.87 shares
- Will Trump say "Greatest Military" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Yes 91.9% 70.28 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes 13.8% 36,219.48 shares
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 72.9% 2,887.3 shares
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 37% 2.72 shares