Polymarket Trader

0x97e67887c4a0Dce8981c77D822b0244f10830952-1769194286661

0x97e67887c4a0dce8981c77d822b0244f10830952

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $165.9
Realized PnL: $244.63
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $554.17
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.38
Potential profit: $518.38
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.67
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $145.45
Potential payout: $160.71
Potential profit: $15.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10.45

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $129.85
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $108.05
Potential profit: $107.57
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.87
Potential profit: $82.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.31
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $69.62
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.69

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $69.41
Potential profit: $67.47
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$18.06

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.29
Potential profit: $59.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $54.32
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $41.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.71

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.85

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 28.17x
User PnL: $14.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Germany join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 84% 160.71 shares
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?

Yes 5.5% 54.32 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 54% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 10% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 10% 50 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Yes 40.2% 24.87 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 222.22 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 130.43 shares