No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $485.25
- Potential payout
- $647
- Potential profit
- $161.75
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $71.17
Polymarket Trader
WilliamGutierrez4952
@AsaniM90465
0x97ed75a7876774c75bf128ce7f7aaec56fbb28e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $493.57
- Realized PnL
- $1.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $15.54
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.8
Yes position
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.7
No position
Will Islami Andolan Bangladesh finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.88
Yes position
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.26
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.75
Over position
Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.98
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.62
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.74
Yes position
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.3
Yes position
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.66
No position
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.43
No position
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.84
Yes position
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Yes position
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.47
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $25.76
No position
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.81
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.24
No position
Will "Finding Her Edge" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
No position
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 6% 786 shares
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 5% 808 shares
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 9% 1,594 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 13% 633 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 12% 113 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64% 647 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 14% 746 shares
- Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No 99.9% 594 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 23% 721 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 30% 721 shares
- Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?No 60% 5 shares
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?No 7% 516 shares