Polymarket Trader

0x97eeC794C95Caf6B2cB5A3c0D8713aE394Eb733d-1737019754324

0x97eec794c95caf6b2cb5a3c0d8713ae394eb733d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.54
Realized PnL: $83.43
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $16.93
Potential payout: $81.19
Potential profit: $64.26
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.85
Potential profit: $53.85
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.13
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $40.38
Potential profit: $36.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$17.16

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $20.89
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $14.82
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $24.55
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $30.37
Potential profit: $30.32
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.06

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $26.52
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.55
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $25.92
Potential profit: $16.14
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?

Ends Jan 19, 2027

Implied probability: 49.9%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $11.34
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Zelensky resigns in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.46
Potential profit: $15.46
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $8.53
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $8.05
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.96

Bitcoin position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.22

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

TikTok on App Store again before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Another commercial airline evacuation before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Trump sanction Russia before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 4.14 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 65% 7.69 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 10% 32 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.9% 121.95 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 56.7% 8.62 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56% 35.71 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 66% 10 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 36.3% 25.92 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.4% 81.19 shares