Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $19.7K
- Potential payout
- $21.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Polymarket Trader
Investnow
0x97f3f9f15c0063710c60d3ac9c40d17f4ba60eba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.47K
- Realized PnL
- $102.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $6.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$739.33
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $601.33
- Potential payout
- $5.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.87K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$898.66
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $3.57K
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $730.02
No position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $642.79
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $388.84
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $771.88
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $138.84
No position
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $598.88
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $489.99
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $214.69
- Potential payout
- $998.55
- Potential profit
- $783.86
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$135.31
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $233
- Potential payout
- $937.63
- Potential profit
- $704.63
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- -$517
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $789.61
- Potential profit
- $778.95
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$289.34
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $89.25
- Potential payout
- $661.13
- Potential profit
- $571.88
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$160.75
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $95.86
- Potential payout
- $618.43
- Potential profit
- $522.57
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$204.14
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $136.58
- Potential payout
- $593.82
- Potential profit
- $457.24
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $86.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $28.13
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $284.38
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$21.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $85.42
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $53.47
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $35.42
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $51.81
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $20.65
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.77K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05K
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.52
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.95
No position
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $740.07
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 25 be greater than 2,100,000?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $727.95
Yes position
Will "My Secret Santa" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.73
Yes position
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have between 310-330m views on September 23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No 55.1% 1,088.87 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 21.5% 1,160.71 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 94% 785.91 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 35% 4,285.71 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 22% 3,409.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 3,460.96 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 14% 650.11 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 30?No 6.5% 1,392.98 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by July 31?No 6.6% 2,415.09 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 92.8% 279.66 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?No 7.3% 1,870.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 50% 999.44 shares